things

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Ron Paul for President?

          Ron Paul, 75 year old professorial obstetrician and republican representative for the 24^th congressional district of Texas, announced earlier today his intentions to enter the 2012 presidential race. Interestingly enough, Rasmussen Reports claims he is practically tied for the election with Barack Obama. I am unsure how this came about. Apparently people don't seem to realize how isolationist this republican is. In his post on lewrockwell.com he presents his 20 year advocacy for American withdrawal from such an auspicious global organization as The United Nations. To quote "We need to stop speaking of UN resolutions and edicts as if they represented legitimate laws or treaties. They do not." 

          Knowing this I am unsure how anyone in their right minds could possibly want such an extremist in office? Do we want someone whose foreign policy is no foreign policies to be our leader? After all wanting America to "not interfere militarily, financially, or covertly in the internal affairs of other nations" sure sounds nice, but really how is the United States government to ensure the safety of its citizens from hostile governments and/or terrorist organization without taking action? Does he intend to say "hey mister could you please put down the gun? I know that you want to kill me and I won’t stop you, but if you don't mind I’m in the middle of talking."

          Whatever the reason this is either another one of those instances demonstrating the average citizens complete lack of political knowledge or an indicator of a surprising and somewhat irrational new policy preference by the American people.

What are the Chances?

According to the LA Times, Obama will only lose the 2012 election if the following three conditions are fulfilled. 1 the economy has to tank. 2 Obama cannot improve his image by handling a new international crisis well, and 3 the Republicans need to put forward a candidate "who is charismatic; is a very good communicator; is in touch with the country's economic and social needs; and is a new brand of GOP leader whom many younger voters can connect with." Basically he needs to have terrible luck, screw up a major situation, and be opposed by a totally surprising and completely awesome Republican candidate.

Now what are the chances of that happening?

New West's Amy Linn reported earlier that according to top economist Christopher Thornberg, while the economy certainly has a ways to go, nevertheless it is definitely improving. That's one prerequisite down. As for the requirement of another international crisis occurring in which Obama preform poorly, I do not know of any method to anticipate such an event. And regarding the appearance of a awesome, sent by the gods Republican candidate, neither Herman Cain, newt Gingrich, Fred Karger, Jimmy McMillan, Tim Pawlenty, or Buddy Roemer resemble such an individual. 

Palin 2012

We discussed ads this week and the effect they have on elections. Well I wonder what this add will do for Sarah Palin's ratings? She really doesn't have a great image. To top it off, according to the Times, if Michele Bachmann runs for president she may steal Palin's constituents. After all they both appeal to the same people with the same attention grabbing strategies. The one biggest difference, Bachmann hasn't made as huge a fool of herself yet.

Obama's goes South

Literally, Obama will continue with his plans to head to South America despite concerns that dealing two international crises ( Libya and Japan) might be too much even without adding to it by a trip to the south. Of course Obama and his administration responded saying they would continue as planned claiming Obama could handle these events just fine.
Whatever the case may be, the interesting point here, as I see it, these complaints are all about how Obama is doing his job. While it is true visiting South America in addition to dealing with the events in Libya, and Japan, can be a lot for any one person to handle, Obama has entire departments to help him deal with these issues and these concerns seem to be just slightly idiotic.

who will win?

in 2012 it is popularly believed we will have a democratic president with a republican congress but will that really happen? NPR take down by conservative activists just as their funding had come up for discussion may indicate a new play in the political  game. While it's nothing new for politicians to attempt to control the media the republicans seem to be trying harder than usual. For whoever takes the stage first sets the mood for the play and this time it looks like the republicans have stolen the mic.

On the other hand NPR is really just one organization, a cut in their federal budget may not influence to much, and the republicans haven't made much of a move yet. So the only thing to do is wait and see, but I think the war for the presidency has just started in a battle for the media.

CNN live today focusing on potential  presidential candidate Newt Gingrich's wife Callista to an almost insane degree in what seems to be an attempt to make the public start thinking of (as we've discussed in class and seen in the readings) Newt in a favorable light